33 games · 6 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 14 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
#10 Virginia Cavaliers84
Miami Hurricanes62
Final · model had Virginia Cavaliers ✓Model: Virginia Cavaliers by 1.8 · 56%
Match facts
Virginia Cavaliers
Miami Hurricanes
WWWLW
Last 5 results
WLWWW
4
Wins in last 5
4
56%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
44%
+15.0
Points rating (our model)
+13.7
75.6
Points scored per game (last 10)
77.9
68.8
Points conceded per game (last 10)
72.3
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Virginia Cavaliers 2 wins, Miami Hurricanes 0 wins; average score 84.0–77.0.
NCAA men's · 14 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
#2 Arizona Wildcats82
#7 Iowa State Cyclones80
Final · model had Arizona Wildcats ✓Model: Arizona Wildcats by 1.8 · 56%
Match facts
Arizona Wildcats
Iowa State Cyclones
WWWWW
Last 5 results
WWWLL
5
Wins in last 5
3
56%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 14 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral courtGap pick: Alabama Crimson Tide to win
#15 Alabama Crimson Tide79
Ole Miss Rebels80
Final · model had Alabama Crimson Tide ✗Model: Alabama Crimson Tide by 12.8 · 85%
Match facts
Alabama Crimson Tide
Ole Miss Rebels
WLWWW
Last 5 results
WWLLW
4
Wins in last 5
3
85%
NCAA men's · 14 Mar 00:30 WAT · neutral court
Saint Joseph's Hawks70
Davidson Wildcats58
Final · model had Saint Joseph's Hawks ✓Model: Saint Joseph's Hawks by 3.1 · 60%
Match facts
Saint Joseph's Hawks
Davidson Wildcats
WWWWW
Last 5 results
WWLWW
5
Wins in last 5
4
60%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 14 Mar 00:30 WAT · neutral court
Akron Zips75
Kent State Golden Flashes68
Final · model had Akron Zips ✓Model: Akron Zips by 10.2 · 80%
Match facts
Akron Zips
Kent State Golden Flashes
WWWWW
Last 5 results
WWWLW
5
Wins in last 5
4
80%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 14 Mar 01:00 WAT · neutral courtGap pick: UConn Huskies to win
#6 UConn Huskies67
Georgetown Hoyas51
Final · model had UConn Huskies ✓Model: UConn Huskies by 12.5 · 85%
Match facts
UConn Huskies
Georgetown Hoyas
WLWWW
Last 5 results
WWWLL
4
Wins in last 5
3
85%
27 more games for signed-in members.
44%
+24.4
Points rating (our model)
+23.0
79.9
Points scored per game (last 10)
72.5
67.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
63.8
8/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Arizona Wildcats 2 wins, Iowa State Cyclones 1 win; average score 75.3–72.0.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
15%
+17.1
Points rating (our model)
+7.3
94.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
78.7
86.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
83.3
9/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
8/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
No
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Alabama Crimson Tide 1 win, Ole Miss Rebels 1 win; average score 78.5–74.0.
40%
+4.8
Points rating (our model)
+3.3
70.5
Points scored per game (last 10)
68.6
64.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
66.3
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
1/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
No
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Saint Joseph's Hawks 2 wins, Davidson Wildcats 1 win; average score 68.0–63.3.
20%
+9.9
Points rating (our model)
+1.4
83.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
81.5
71.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
77.0
7/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
3/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Akron Zips 4 wins, Kent State Golden Flashes 0 wins; average score 80.8–66.3.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
15%
+17.1
Points rating (our model)
+6.6
77.8
Points scored per game (last 10)
71.8
68.3
Points conceded per game (last 10)
74.1
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
3/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: UConn Huskies 4 wins, Georgetown Hoyas 0 wins; average score 76.0–69.0.