19 games · 4 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 10 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
Wright State Raiders103
Northern Kentucky Norse90
Final · model had Wright State Raiders ✓Model: Wright State Raiders by 1.9 · 56%
Match facts
Wright State Raiders
Northern Kentucky Norse
WWWLW
Last 5 results
WWLWL
4
Wins in last 5
3
56%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
44%
+1.2
Points rating (our model)
+0.7
80.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
79.8
75.8
Points conceded per game (last 10)
76.3
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Wright State Raiders 3 wins, Northern Kentucky Norse 1 win; average score 83.5–80.3.
NCAA men's · 10 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
East Tennessee State Buccaneers61
Furman Paladins76
Final · model had East Tennessee State Buccaneers ✗Model: East Tennessee State Buccaneers by 2.9 · 59%
Match facts
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Furman Paladins
WWLLW
Last 5 results
WWLWW
3
Wins in last 5
4
59%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 10 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
Troy Trojans77
Georgia Southern Eagles61
Final · model had Troy Trojans ✓Model: Troy Trojans by 1.9 · 56%
Match facts
Troy Trojans
Georgia Southern Eagles
WWWLW
Last 5 results
WWWWW
4
Wins in last 5
5
56%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
44%
NCAA men's · 10 Mar 00:30 WAT · neutral court
Montana Grizzlies95
Northern Colorado Bears89
Final · model had Northern Colorado Bears ✗Model: Northern Colorado Bears by 8.0 · 75%
Match facts
Montana Grizzlies
Northern Colorado Bears
LWWLL
Last 5 results
WWLWW
2
Wins in last 5
4
25%
NCAA men's · 10 Mar 01:30 WAT · neutral courtGap pick: Grambling Tigers to win
Grambling Tigers77
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils52
Final · model had Grambling Tigers ✓Model: Grambling Tigers by 14.1 · 88%
Match facts
Grambling Tigers
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
WLLLW
Last 5 results
LLWLW
2
Wins in last 5
2
NCAA men's · 10 Mar 01:30 WAT · neutral court
Hofstra Pride68
Towson Tigers65
Final · model had Hofstra Pride ✓Model: Hofstra Pride by 6.4 · 70%
Match facts
Hofstra Pride
Towson Tigers
WWWWW
Last 5 results
WWWWW
5
Wins in last 5
5
70%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
13 more games for signed-in members.
41%
+1.7
Points rating (our model)
-0.5
76.9
Points scored per game (last 10)
74.0
72.5
Points conceded per game (last 10)
72.1
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: East Tennessee State Buccaneers 3 wins, Furman Paladins 1 win; average score 73.8–70.5.
+1.3
Points rating (our model)
-0.0
69.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
84.4
67.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
80.2
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
1/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Troy Trojans 2 wins, Georgia Southern Eagles 0 wins; average score 82.0–76.0.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
75%
-4.7
Points rating (our model)
+2.5
71.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
80.5
76.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
71.6
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 5 meetings since Nov 2024: Montana Grizzlies 3 wins, Northern Colorado Bears 2 wins; average score 75.8–81.2.
88%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
12%
-11.1
Points rating (our model)
-23.0
67.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
67.4
69.4
Points conceded per game (last 10)
78.2
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Grambling Tigers 2 wins, Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils 0 wins; average score 74.0–58.0.
30%
+8.7
Points rating (our model)
+3.4
73.8
Points scored per game (last 10)
68.6
58.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
62.2
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
0/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
0/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Hofstra Pride 2 wins, Towson Tigers 1 win; average score 69.7–60.3.