12 games · 2 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 09 Mar 00:30 WAT · neutral court
Portland State Vikings85
Idaho State Bengals78
Final · model had Portland State Vikings ✓Model: Portland State Vikings by 11.1 · 82%
Match facts
Portland State Vikings
Idaho State Bengals
WLLLW
Last 5 results
WLLWW
2
Wins in last 5
3
82%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
18%
+0.5
Points rating (our model)
-7.8
72.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
71.8
68.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.9
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
No
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Portland State Vikings 3 wins, Idaho State Bengals 1 win; average score 82.8–73.3.
NCAA men's · 09 Mar 01:30 WAT · neutral court
Siena Saints76
Fairfield Stags61
Final · model had Siena Saints ✓Model: Siena Saints by 1.4 · 55%
Match facts
Siena Saints
Fairfield Stags
WWLWL
Last 5 results
WWLWW
3
Wins in last 5
4
55%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
45%
NCAA men's · 09 Mar 01:30 WAT · neutral court
Nicholls Colonels61
Northwestern State Demons47
Final · model had Nicholls Colonels ✓Model: Nicholls Colonels by 1.2 · 54%
Match facts
Nicholls Colonels
Northwestern State Demons
LWWLL
Last 5 results
LLWWL
2
Wins in last 5
2
54%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
46%
NCAA men's · 09 Mar 01:30 WAT · neutral court
Oregon State Beavers78
San Francisco Dons77
Final · model had San Francisco Dons ✗Model: San Francisco Dons by 1.2 · 54%
Match facts
Oregon State Beavers
San Francisco Dons
LWWLW
Last 5 results
WWLLW
3
Wins in last 5
3
46%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
54%
NCAA men's · 09 Mar 01:30 WAT · neutral court
Hofstra Pride92
William & Mary Tribe61
Final · model had Hofstra Pride ✓Model: Hofstra Pride by 7.1 · 72%
Match facts
Hofstra Pride
William & Mary Tribe
WWWWL
Last 5 results
WWWWL
4
Wins in last 5
4
72%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 09 Mar 02:00 WAT · neutral courtGap pick: North Dakota State Bison to win
North Dakota State Bison70
North Dakota Fighting Hawks62
Final · model had North Dakota State Bison ✓Model: North Dakota State Bison by 13.3 · 86%
Match facts
North Dakota State Bison
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
WWWLW
Last 5 results
WWLLW
4
Wins in last 5
3
6 more games for signed-in members.
-0.4
Points rating (our model)
-1.6
69.2
Points scored per game (last 10)
72.1
67.5
Points conceded per game (last 10)
69.1
3/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
1/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
Yes
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Siena Saints 2 wins, Fairfield Stags 1 win; average score 70.3–71.0.
-4.7
Points rating (our model)
-5.4
70.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
62.3
72.4
Points conceded per game (last 10)
64.3
3/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
0/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Nicholls Colonels 2 wins, Northwestern State Demons 2 wins; average score 65.3–67.5.
-1.1
Points rating (our model)
+1.2
72.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
73.0
74.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
80.2
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
No
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Oregon State Beavers 2 wins, San Francisco Dons 2 wins; average score 75.5–70.0.
28%
+6.6
Points rating (our model)
+1.7
71.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
85.1
58.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
80.3
3/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
0/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
No
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Hofstra Pride 0 wins, William & Mary Tribe 3 wins; average score 66.0–74.7.
86%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
14%
+6.6
Points rating (our model)
-4.6
81.2
Points scored per game (last 10)
75.5
69.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.5
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: North Dakota State Bison 3 wins, North Dakota Fighting Hawks 1 win; average score 85.8–72.5.