60 games · 15 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 08 Mar 00:00 WAT
LSU Tigers91
Texas A&M Aggies94
Final · model had Texas A&M Aggies ✓Model: Texas A&M Aggies by 5.4 · 67%
Match facts
LSU Tigers
Texas A&M Aggies
LLWLL
Last 5 results
WLLWW
1
Wins in last 5
3
33%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
67%
+4.9
Points rating (our model)
+12.7
76.9
Points scored per game (last 10)
81.5
86.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
83.9
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
9/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
9/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: LSU Tigers 0 wins, Texas A&M Aggies 3 wins; average score 60.3–69.7.
NCAA men's · 08 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
Quinnipiac Bobcats75
Marist Red Foxes77
Final · model had Marist Red Foxes ✓Model: Marist Red Foxes by 0.8 · 53%
Match facts
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Marist Red Foxes
WLLLW
Last 5 results
LWWLL
2
Wins in last 5
2
47%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
53%
NCAA men's · 08 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
Bradley Braves69
Northern Iowa Panthers73
Final · model had Northern Iowa Panthers ✓Model: Northern Iowa Panthers by 4.1 · 63%
Match facts
Bradley Braves
Northern Iowa Panthers
WWLWL
Last 5 results
WWWLL
3
Wins in last 5
3
37%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 08 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
Samford Bulldogs81
Furman Paladins86
Final · model had Samford Bulldogs ✗Model: Samford Bulldogs by 3.0 · 60%
Match facts
Samford Bulldogs
Furman Paladins
WWLWW
Last 5 results
LWWLW
4
Wins in last 5
3
60%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
40%
NCAA men's · 08 Mar 00:00 WAT · neutral court
Towson Tigers74
Hampton Pirates68
Final · model had Towson Tigers ✓Model: Towson Tigers by 8.4 · 76%
Match facts
Towson Tigers
Hampton Pirates
WWWLL
Last 5 results
LWLLL
3
Wins in last 5
1
76%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 08 Mar 00:30 WATGap pick: Duke Blue Devils to win
#1 Duke Blue Devils76
#17 North Carolina Tar Heels61
Final · model had Duke Blue Devils ✓Model: Duke Blue Devils by 22.6 · 97%
Match facts
Duke Blue Devils
North Carolina Tar Heels
WWWWW
Last 5 results
WWWWL
5
Wins in last 5
4
97%
54 more games for signed-in members.
-2.3
Points rating (our model)
-1.4
70.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
68.2
69.3
Points conceded per game (last 10)
65.5
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
3/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Quinnipiac Bobcats 1 win, Marist Red Foxes 2 wins; average score 63.3–66.0.
63%
+5.5
Points rating (our model)
+9.4
78.2
Points scored per game (last 10)
74.6
73.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
61.6
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
Yes
Played yesterday
Yes
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Bradley Braves 2 wins, Northern Iowa Panthers 2 wins; average score 66.5–67.3.
+1.2
Points rating (our model)
-1.1
81.8
Points scored per game (last 10)
72.6
72.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
70.8
8/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 5 meetings since Nov 2024: Samford Bulldogs 0 wins, Furman Paladins 5 wins; average score 73.2–80.4.
24%
+1.3
Points rating (our model)
-5.7
67.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
68.2
66.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
76.6
1/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Towson Tigers 2 wins, Hampton Pirates 1 win; average score 73.0–61.7.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
3%
+29.0
Points rating (our model)
+13.0
78.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
76.2
58.4
Points conceded per game (last 10)
72.5
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
0/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Duke Blue Devils 3 wins, North Carolina Tar Heels 1 win; average score 77.8–70.3.