18 games · 6 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 03 Mar 00:00 WAT
Morgan State Bears90
Norfolk State Spartans84
Final · model had Norfolk State Spartans ✗Model: Norfolk State Spartans by 2.2 · 57%
Match facts
Morgan State Bears
Norfolk State Spartans
LWWLW
Last 5 results
WWWWW
3
Wins in last 5
5
43%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
57%
-12.7
Points rating (our model)
-7.5
79.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
78.5
78.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
73.1
9/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
8/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Morgan State Bears 2 wins, Norfolk State Spartans 2 wins; average score 68.0–69.8.
NCAA men's · 03 Mar 01:00 WATGap pick: Duke Blue Devils to win
NC State Wolfpack64
#1 Duke Blue Devils93
Final · model had Duke Blue Devils ✓Model: Duke Blue Devils by 16.6 · 91%
Match facts
NC State Wolfpack
Duke Blue Devils
LLWLL
Last 5 results
WWWWW
1
Wins in last 5
5
NCAA men's · 03 Mar 01:00 WATGap pick: Howard Bison to win
Howard Bison90
Coppin State Eagles70
Final · model had Howard Bison ✓Model: Howard Bison by 27.7 · 99%
Match facts
Howard Bison
Coppin State Eagles
WWWWL
Last 5 results
LWWWW
4
Wins in last 5
4
99%
NCAA men's · 03 Mar 01:00 WAT
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks73
North Carolina Central Eagles77
Final · model had Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks ✗Model: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks by 4.7 · 65%
Match facts
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
North Carolina Central Eagles
WLLLL
Last 5 results
WLLWL
1
Wins in last 5
2
65%
NCAA men's · 03 Mar 01:00 WAT
Delaware State Hornets59
South Carolina State Bulldogs61
Final · model had Delaware State Hornets ✗Model: Delaware State Hornets by 0.6 · 52%
Match facts
Delaware State Hornets
South Carolina State Bulldogs
LLLLL
Last 5 results
LLLWL
0
Wins in last 5
1
52%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 03 Mar 01:00 WAT
Cleveland State Vikings101
IU Indianapolis Jaguars93
Final · model had Cleveland State Vikings ✓Model: Cleveland State Vikings by 3.4 · 61%
Match facts
Cleveland State Vikings
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
LLLLL
Last 5 results
LLLLL
0
Wins in last 5
0
61%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
12 more games for signed-in members.
9%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
91%
+10.3
Points rating (our model)
+27.9
81.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
77.3
81.3
Points conceded per game (last 10)
57.2
9/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
6/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
0/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: NC State Wolfpack 0 wins, Duke Blue Devils 1 win; average score 64.0–74.0.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
1%
+3.5
Points rating (our model)
-17.1
84.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
67.0
64.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
70.8
9/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Howard Bison 2 wins, Coppin State Eagles 1 win; average score 74.3–66.7.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
35%
-13.1
Points rating (our model)
-13.8
64.2
Points scored per game (last 10)
71.2
68.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
74.1
0/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks 1 win, North Carolina Central Eagles 2 wins; average score 66.7–70.7.
48%
-19.1
Points rating (our model)
-16.3
62.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
69.9
75.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
74.4
1/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Delaware State Hornets 1 win, South Carolina State Bulldogs 2 wins; average score 76.0–79.7.
39%
-9.7
Points rating (our model)
-9.4
80.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
79.4
87.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
83.5
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
10/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Cleveland State Vikings 3 wins, IU Indianapolis Jaguars 1 win; average score 78.3–72.8.