72 games · 13 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 22 Feb 00:00 WAT
LSU Tigers83
#25 Alabama Crimson Tide90
Final · model had Alabama Crimson Tide ✓Model: Alabama Crimson Tide by 8.5 · 76%
Match facts
LSU Tigers
Alabama Crimson Tide
LLLLW
Last 5 results
WWWWW
1
Wins in last 5
5
24%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
76%
+6.0
Points rating (our model)
+16.8
73.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
91.5
81.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
85.9
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
9/10
8/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: LSU Tigers 0 wins, Alabama Crimson Tide 1 win; average score 73.0–80.0.
NCAA men's · 22 Feb 00:00 WAT
Idaho State Bengals91
Montana State Bobcats76
Final · model had Montana State Bobcats ✗Model: Montana State Bobcats by 5.8 · 69%
Match facts
Idaho State Bengals
Montana State Bobcats
WLLLL
Last 5 results
LWLWL
1
Wins in last 5
2
31%
NCAA men's · 22 Feb 00:00 WAT
East Texas A&M Lions73
Incarnate Word Cardinals82
Final · model had East Texas A&M Lions ✗Model: East Texas A&M Lions by 3.8 · 62%
Match facts
East Texas A&M Lions
Incarnate Word Cardinals
WLLWW
Last 5 results
LLLLW
3
Wins in last 5
1
62%
NCAA men's · 22 Feb 00:00 WATGap pick: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks to win
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks81
Nicholls Colonels78
Final · model had Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks ✓Model: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks by 18.4 · 94%
Match facts
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Nicholls Colonels
WWWWW
Last 5 results
LWLLW
5
Wins in last 5
NCAA men's · 22 Feb 00:00 WAT
Massachusetts Minutemen82
Buffalo Bulls86
Final · model had Massachusetts Minutemen ✗Model: Massachusetts Minutemen by 6.3 · 70%
Match facts
Massachusetts Minutemen
Buffalo Bulls
LLLWW
Last 5 results
LWLLL
2
Wins in last 5
1
70%
NCAA men's · 22 Feb 00:00 WAT
Denver Pioneers82
St. Thomas Tommies80
Final · model had St. Thomas Tommies ✗Model: St. Thomas Tommies by 4.6 · 65%
Match facts
Denver Pioneers
St. Thomas Tommies
WLWWW
Last 5 results
WLWWW
4
Wins in last 5
4
35%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
66 more games for signed-in members.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
69%
-7.9
Points rating (our model)
+0.4
68.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
75.3
80.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
72.2
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
6/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Idaho State Bengals 1 win, Montana State Bobcats 3 wins; average score 65.3–73.8.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
38%
-8.6
Points rating (our model)
-8.6
68.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
71.7
72.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
81.3
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: East Texas A&M Lions 1 win, Incarnate Word Cardinals 2 wins; average score 67.0–66.0.
2
94%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
6%
+6.3
Points rating (our model)
-6.4
77.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
70.5
67.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
77.2
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 1 win, Nicholls Colonels 2 wins; average score 70.0–76.3.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
30%
-0.8
Points rating (our model)
-3.0
81.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
75.8
82.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.4
7/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: Massachusetts Minutemen 1 win, Buffalo Bulls 0 wins; average score 68.0–67.0.
65%
-0.3
Points rating (our model)
+6.2
83.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
86.6
77.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
73.9
9/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
6/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Denver Pioneers 0 wins, St. Thomas Tommies 4 wins; average score 72.0–81.3.