110 games · 28 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 21 Feb 00:30 WATGap pick: Akron Zips to win
Ball State Cardinals65
Akron Zips78
Final · model had Akron Zips ✓Model: Akron Zips by 16.4 · 91%
Match facts
Ball State Cardinals
Akron Zips
LLLWL
Last 5 results
WWLWW
1
Wins in last 5
4
9%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
91%
-9.2
Points rating (our model)
+8.2
63.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
84.3
70.3
Points conceded per game (last 10)
73.5
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
3/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Ball State Cardinals 0 wins, Akron Zips 3 wins; average score 77.3–85.0.
NCAA men's · 21 Feb 01:00 WAT
Manhattan Jaspers70
Marist Red Foxes84
Final · model had Marist Red Foxes ✓Model: Marist Red Foxes by 5.2 · 67%
Match facts
Manhattan Jaspers
Marist Red Foxes
WWWLL
Last 5 results
LLLWW
3
Wins in last 5
2
33%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 21 Feb 01:00 WAT
Rider Broncs66
Canisius Golden Griffins72
Final · model had Rider Broncs ✗Model: Rider Broncs by 1.8 · 56%
Match facts
Rider Broncs
Canisius Golden Griffins
LLLLW
Last 5 results
LLLLL
1
Wins in last 5
0
56%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 21 Feb 01:00 WAT
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers76
Niagara Purple Eagles63
Final · model had Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers ✓Model: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers by 7.9 · 74%
Match facts
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Niagara Purple Eagles
WWLWL
Last 5 results
WLLWL
3
Wins in last 5
2
74%
NCAA men's · 21 Feb 01:00 WAT
Oakland Golden Grizzlies68
Green Bay Phoenix73
Final · model had Oakland Golden Grizzlies ✗Model: Oakland Golden Grizzlies by 5.8 · 68%
Match facts
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
Green Bay Phoenix
LLLWW
Last 5 results
LWWWL
2
Wins in last 5
3
68%
NCAA men's · 21 Feb 01:00 WAT
Detroit Mercy Titans91
Milwaukee Panthers86
Final · model had Detroit Mercy Titans ✓Model: Detroit Mercy Titans by 6.1 · 69%
Match facts
Detroit Mercy Titans
Milwaukee Panthers
WWLWW
Last 5 results
WWLLL
4
Wins in last 5
2
69%
104 more games for signed-in members.
67%
-8.3
Points rating (our model)
-0.5
73.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
66.4
78.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
66.3
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Manhattan Jaspers 0 wins, Marist Red Foxes 2 wins; average score 71.5–81.0.
44%
-14.0
Points rating (our model)
-12.3
67.6
Points scored per game (last 10)
63.6
79.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
71.1
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Rider Broncs 1 win, Canisius Golden Griffins 1 win; average score 72.5–67.5.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
26%
-6.0
Points rating (our model)
-9.6
67.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
63.2
68.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
65.1
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
3/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 3 wins, Niagara Purple Eagles 0 wins; average score 73.3–67.7.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
32%
-1.3
Points rating (our model)
-3.1
80.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
77.1
80.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
76.9
7/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
6/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 4 meetings since Nov 2024: Oakland Golden Grizzlies 4 wins, Green Bay Phoenix 0 wins; average score 84.8–68.3.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
31%
-3.8
Points rating (our model)
-5.9
79.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
73.2
79.5
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.4
8/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Detroit Mercy Titans 1 win, Milwaukee Panthers 2 wins; average score 66.3–72.0.