16 games · 2 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 20 Jan 00:00 WATGap pick: Incarnate Word Cardinals to win
Incarnate Word Cardinals58
East Texas A&M Lions80
Final · model had Incarnate Word Cardinals ✗Model: Incarnate Word Cardinals by 14.2 · 88%
Match facts
Incarnate Word Cardinals
East Texas A&M Lions
WLLLW
Last 5 results
LLWLL
2
Wins in last 5
1
88%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
12%
-1.8
Points rating (our model)
-10.8
69.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
65.1
69.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
80.7
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Incarnate Word Cardinals 2 wins, East Texas A&M Lions 0 wins; average score 70.0–60.5.
NCAA men's · 20 Jan 00:00 WAT
Marquette Golden Eagles105
Providence Friars104
Final · model had Providence Friars ✗Model: Providence Friars by 0.9 · 53%
Match facts
Marquette Golden Eagles
Providence Friars
LLLWL
Last 5 results
WLLLW
1
Wins in last 5
2
47%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 20 Jan 00:00 WAT
Dartmouth Big Green71
Princeton Tigers69
Final · model had Dartmouth Big Green ✓Model: Dartmouth Big Green by 5.4 · 67%
Match facts
Dartmouth Big Green
Princeton Tigers
LWWLL
Last 5 results
LWWWL
2
Wins in last 5
3
67%
NCAA men's · 20 Jan 00:30 WAT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions82
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats87
Final · model had Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions ✗Model: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions by 0.6 · 52%
Match facts
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
LLWWW
Last 5 results
WLWWL
3
Wins in last 5
3
52%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 20 Jan 01:00 WAT
Lehigh Mountain Hawks88
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds81
Final · model had Lehigh Mountain Hawks ✓Model: Lehigh Mountain Hawks by 5.4 · 67%
Match facts
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
LWWWL
Last 5 results
WLLWL
3
Wins in last 5
2
67%
NCAA men's · 20 Jan 01:00 WAT
Chicago State Cougars56
New Haven Chargers62
Final · model had New Haven Chargers ✓Model: New Haven Chargers by 3.0 · 60%
Match facts
Chicago State Cougars
New Haven Chargers
LLLLL
Last 5 results
WWLLW
0
Wins in last 5
3
40%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
10 more games for signed-in members.
53%
+1.4
Points rating (our model)
+5.5
67.9
Points scored per game (last 10)
88.1
80.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
84.6
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
9/10
8/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Marquette Golden Eagles 2 wins, Providence Friars 0 wins; average score 80.0–51.0.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
33%
-0.6
Points rating (our model)
-2.0
75.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
68.4
78.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
69.1
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
6/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Dartmouth Big Green 1 win, Princeton Tigers 1 win; average score 78.0–71.0.
48%
-12.6
Points rating (our model)
-9.9
76.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
71.0
83.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
85.1
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
6/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 0 wins, Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 1 win; average score 64.0–73.0.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
33%
-6.4
Points rating (our model)
-7.8
75.2
Points scored per game (last 10)
73.1
78.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.8
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Lehigh Mountain Hawks 0 wins, Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 3 wins; average score 69.0–77.7.
60%
-14.2
Points rating (our model)
-8.3
64.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
59.5
79.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
69.5
2/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.