49 games · 9 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 16 Jan 00:00 WAT
Liberty Flames73
New Mexico State Aggies71
Final · model had Liberty Flames ✓Model: Liberty Flames by 9.2 · 78%
Match facts
Liberty Flames
New Mexico State Aggies
WWWWW
Last 5 results
LWLLW
5
Wins in last 5
2
78%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
22%
+5.7
Points rating (our model)
+1.1
74.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
72.6
70.8
Points conceded per game (last 10)
71.9
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Liberty Flames 2 wins, New Mexico State Aggies 0 wins; average score 66.0–57.0.
NCAA men's · 16 Jan 00:00 WAT
VMI Keydets67
Mercer Bears77
Final · model had Mercer Bears ✓Model: Mercer Bears by 10.3 · 80%
Match facts
VMI Keydets
Mercer Bears
LLWLL
Last 5 results
WWLLL
1
Wins in last 5
2
20%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 16 Jan 00:00 WAT
Bryant Bulldogs79
UMBC Retrievers74
Final · model had UMBC Retrievers ✗Model: UMBC Retrievers by 1.4 · 55%
Match facts
Bryant Bulldogs
UMBC Retrievers
LLWLL
Last 5 results
WWWLL
1
Wins in last 5
3
45%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 16 Jan 00:00 WATGap pick: UMass Lowell River Hawks to win
UMass Lowell River Hawks64
NJIT Highlanders73
Final · model had UMass Lowell River Hawks ✗Model: UMass Lowell River Hawks by 13.1 · 86%
Match facts
UMass Lowell River Hawks
NJIT Highlanders
WWWLL
Last 5 results
LWWLL
3
Wins in last 5
2
NCAA men's · 16 Jan 00:30 WAT
App State Mountaineers80
James Madison Dukes65
Final · model had App State Mountaineers ✓Model: App State Mountaineers by 3.4 · 61%
Match facts
App State Mountaineers
James Madison Dukes
LWLWL
Last 5 results
WLWLL
2
Wins in last 5
2
61%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 16 Jan 00:30 WATGap pick: UAlbany Great Danes to win
UAlbany Great Danes69
Binghamton Bearcats53
Final · model had UAlbany Great Danes ✓Model: UAlbany Great Danes by 11.3 · 82%
Match facts
UAlbany Great Danes
Binghamton Bearcats
WLLLW
Last 5 results
LLLLL
2
Wins in last 5
0
43 more games for signed-in members.
80%
-10.8
Points rating (our model)
+1.4
68.3
Points scored per game (last 10)
80.1
80.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
76.4
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: VMI Keydets 1 win, Mercer Bears 1 win; average score 73.5–70.5.
55%
-9.8
Points rating (our model)
-5.3
58.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
72.2
71.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
73.7
1/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: Bryant Bulldogs 3 wins, UMBC Retrievers 0 wins; average score 86.0–79.7.
86%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
14%
-5.3
Points rating (our model)
-13.4
73.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
62.9
74.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.1
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
1/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: UMass Lowell River Hawks 1 win, NJIT Highlanders 1 win; average score 66.0–72.5.
39%
-2.9
Points rating (our model)
-2.6
68.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
73.5
67.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
77.3
3/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
3/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: App State Mountaineers 2 wins, James Madison Dukes 0 wins; average score 72.0–58.0.
82%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
18%
-6.7
Points rating (our model)
-13.2
71.6
Points scored per game (last 10)
67.7
81.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.4
3/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 3 meetings since Nov 2024: UAlbany Great Danes 2 wins, Binghamton Bearcats 1 win; average score 66.7–65.3.