56 games · 9 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 09 Jan 00:00 WAT
UMBC Retrievers69
Maine Black Bears62
Final · model had UMBC Retrievers ✓Model: UMBC Retrievers by 11.0 · 82%
Match facts
UMBC Retrievers
Maine Black Bears
WLLLW
Last 5 results
LLLWL
2
Wins in last 5
1
82%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
18%
-4.6
Points rating (our model)
-10.8
73.0
Points scored per game (last 10)
57.2
75.0
Points conceded per game (last 10)
69.2
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
0/10
5/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: UMBC Retrievers 0 wins, Maine Black Bears 2 wins; average score 56.0–80.0.
NCAA men's · 09 Jan 00:00 WAT
Bryant Bulldogs63
UMass Lowell River Hawks77
Final · model had Bryant Bulldogs ✗Model: Bryant Bulldogs by 3.8 · 62%
Match facts
Bryant Bulldogs
UMass Lowell River Hawks
WLLLL
Last 5 results
WLLWL
1
Wins in last 5
2
62%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 09 Jan 00:30 WATGap pick: Michigan State Spartans to win
#12 Michigan State Spartans76
Northwestern Wildcats66
Final · model had Michigan State Spartans ✓Model: Michigan State Spartans by 13.1 · 86%
Match facts
Michigan State Spartans
Northwestern Wildcats
WLWWW
Last 5 results
LWLWW
4
Wins in last 5
3
NCAA men's · 09 Jan 01:00 WAT
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56
Liberty Flames72
Final · model had Liberty Flames ✓Model: Liberty Flames by 3.9 · 63%
Match facts
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Liberty Flames
LLWLW
Last 5 results
WWWWL
2
Wins in last 5
4
37%
NCAA men's · 09 Jan 01:00 WAT
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles71
Austin Peay Governors82
Final · model had Florida Gulf Coast Eagles ✗Model: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles by 5.0 · 66%
Match facts
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Austin Peay Governors
WLLLL
Last 5 results
WWWLL
1
Wins in last 5
3
66%
NCAA men's · 09 Jan 01:00 WAT
Bellarmine Knights84
Central Arkansas Bears78
Final · model had Central Arkansas Bears ✗Model: Central Arkansas Bears by 0.0 · 50%
Match facts
Bellarmine Knights
Central Arkansas Bears
LLLWL
Last 5 results
WWLLL
1
Wins in last 5
2
50%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
50 more games for signed-in members.
38%
-6.7
Points rating (our model)
-6.7
58.6
Points scored per game (last 10)
73.2
70.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
81.4
1/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Bryant Bulldogs 2 wins, UMass Lowell River Hawks 0 wins; average score 82.0–70.0.
86%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
14%
+16.3
Points rating (our model)
+7.8
79.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
78.8
64.9
Points conceded per game (last 10)
74.5
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
1/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: Michigan State Spartans 1 win, Northwestern Wildcats 0 wins; average score 78.0–68.0.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
63%
-2.4
Points rating (our model)
+4.2
65.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
75.7
64.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
71.9
3/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
2/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 1 win, Liberty Flames 1 win; average score 66.0–75.5.
Chance to win (overtime counts)
34%
-1.0
Points rating (our model)
-2.0
80.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
73.4
80.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
74.2
8/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 0 wins, Austin Peay Governors 1 win; average score 60.0–73.0.
50%
-6.3
Points rating (our model)
-3.0
77.8
Points scored per game (last 10)
77.1
81.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
73.9
7/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
5/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Green = clearly stronger (at least 50% better than the other team), red = clearly weaker. Points rows are coloured when one team is 5 or more ahead (conceded: 5 or more lower). Played yesterday is not coloured. Rows are from stored Division I results, last 10 games (early in the season this reaches back into last season). Pace, shooting, rebounds and assists are not shown: NCAA box scores are not stored yet.
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: Bellarmine Knights 0 wins, Central Arkansas Bears 1 win; average score 65.0–71.0.