10 games · 2 Gap picks. Model = our results-based rating (margin and win chance incl. overtime); Gap pick = the favourite-wins rule on Top Picks. Line = last DraftKings price ESPN showed before tip-off.
NCAA men's · 05 Dec 01:00 WAT
Green Bay Phoenix78
Robert Morris Colonials80
Final · model had Robert Morris Colonials ✓Model: Robert Morris Colonials by 4.0 · 63%
Match facts
Green Bay Phoenix
Robert Morris Colonials
WWLLL
Last 5 results
WWWLL
2
Wins in last 5
3
37%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
63%
-5.6
Points rating (our model)
+1.3
71.1
Points scored per game (last 10)
75.9
80.6
Points conceded per game (last 10)
76.0
5/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Green Bay Phoenix 0 wins, Robert Morris Colonials 2 wins; average score 76.0–91.5.
NCAA men's · 05 Dec 01:00 WAT
Charleston Southern Buccaneers124
Warren Wilson Owls63
FinalNon-Division I side: no model
NCAA men's · 05 Dec 01:00 WAT
Merrimack Warriors68
Rider Broncs66
Final · model had Merrimack Warriors ✓Model: Merrimack Warriors by 10.5 · 81%
Match facts
Merrimack Warriors
Rider Broncs
WLLLW
Last 5 results
LLLLL
2
Wins in last 5
0
81%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 05 Dec 01:00 WAT
South Florida Bulls74
Utah State Aggies61
Final · model had Utah State Aggies ✗Model: Utah State Aggies by 1.9 · 56%
Match facts
South Florida Bulls
Utah State Aggies
LWLLW
Last 5 results
WWWWW
2
Wins in last 5
5
44%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
NCAA men's · 05 Dec 01:00 WATGap pick: Davidson Wildcats to win
Davidson Wildcats79
The Citadel Bulldogs63
Final · model had Davidson Wildcats ✓Model: Davidson Wildcats by 20.8 · 96%
Match facts
Davidson Wildcats
The Citadel Bulldogs
WLWWW
Last 5 results
LLLLL
4
Wins in last 5
0
NCAA men's · 05 Dec 03:00 WATGap pick: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos84
Long Beach State Beach77
Final · model had UC Santa Barbara Gauchos ✓Model: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos by 13.5 · 87%
Match facts
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Long Beach State Beach
WWLLW
Last 5 results
WLLLL
3
Wins in last 5
1
4 more games for signed-in members.
19%
-4.5
Points rating (our model)
-10.5
63.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
66.1
74.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
78.4
1/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
8/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: Merrimack Warriors 1 win, Rider Broncs 1 win; average score 72.0–73.5.
56%
+3.6
Points rating (our model)
+8.5
86.7
Points scored per game (last 10)
78.8
81.7
Points conceded per game (last 10)
67.7
6/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
7/10
7/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
4/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Head to head: 1 meeting since Nov 2024: South Florida Bulls 0 wins, Utah State Aggies 1 win; average score 67.0–88.0.
96%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
4%
+0.6
Points rating (our model)
-13.9
72.4
Points scored per game (last 10)
63.4
72.2
Points conceded per game (last 10)
79.8
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
3/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Head to head: no stored meetings.
87%
Chance to win (overtime counts)
13%
+0.1
Points rating (our model)
-8.0
74.9
Points scored per game (last 10)
66.6
76.1
Points conceded per game (last 10)
77.6
4/10
Scored 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
2/10
4/10
Conceded 75+ points, the league average (last 10)
6/10
No
Played yesterday
No
Head to head: 2 meetings since Nov 2024: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 wins, Long Beach State Beach 0 wins; average score 71.5–55.0.